Time’s running out, don’t miss the boat!
Archive for March, 2011
Who are the best teams? Who are the worst teams? And just how good or bad are they? Dugout Central staff and readers are again challenged to predict win totals for all thirty MLB teams.
In a recent Dugout Central article, John Bowen asked if the quality start is a bad statistic. In this article I present data on how often a team wins given how long the starting pitcher lasts and how many earned runs he allows, and suggest two possible redefinitions of the quality start.
Another oldie from last year, but with a pretty signfiicant addition from this past year!
If there is one thing which is synonomous with Spring Training and the return of baseball, it’s March Madness. For many years, MLB’s opening day coincided with the playing of the National Championship game of college basketball.
I personally follow college basketball more closely than I do just about any other sport, partly because my alma [...]
By Bob Owens
So far during Spring Training, Miguel Cabrera, Austin Kearns and Coco Crisp have been arrested for drinking and driving. The Kearns case is even more disturbing than the other two as his incident took place a month before Spring Training began and he intentionally attempted to cover up the situation while his agent [...]
This is an old one from last year, but I’m honestly not sure if/when the archives are coming back; in the meantime, enjoy this one!
Sorry for the delay on this, my work schedule and responsibilities have change three times since the first week of February, I hardly know what day it is anymore, much less have time to do anything. Plus, with Spring Training in full swing, any free time I have is usually spent watching a handful of [...]
In an article published earlier this week on his blog-that’s-not-a-blog, Murray Chass raised some interesting points about pampered pitchers in this day and age. The article made some interesting points with regards to pitch counts and 5-man rotations, but he goes on to bring up some questionable points with regards to how pitchers are evaluated.
Could Adrian Gonzalez be on his way to edging himself in?
For those of you not wanting to read the long winded versions of my multiple predictions and just want to see who I think will be in the World Series a good six and a half months before it happens – wait no more!!!
2011 World Series
White Sox vs Phillies
An epic match up in the making [...]
With my AL picks firmly in place let’s move onto the Senior Circuit and see how much damage we can do.
Welcome to the 2011 edition of my nearly flawless (and by nearly flawless I mean I have about a one in no-chance-in-hell shot of getting more than a third of these right) MLB AL Predictions.
Bill James introduced the concept of similarity scores by comparing career totals in games played, at bats, runs, hits and other offensive stats. However, it emphasizes counting stats, and therefore in most cases players can be similar only if they have a similar number of plate appearances. I introduce the Rate Similarity Score, which identifies batters with similar batting profiles even though they may have very different career lengths.