Defying the Odds: The 2011 St. Louis Cardinals Story
Here are some of the statistical odds that the Cardinals overcame en route to their NL-best 11th World Series championship:
Playoffs Odds on August 27: 1.1%
Playoff Odds on September 15: 4.2%
Playoffs Odds on September 23 (5 days left!): 6.8%
Win Expectancy of Game 6, bottom of the 9th, 2 outs: 8%
Win Expectancy of Game 6, bottom of the 10th, 2 outs: 16%
Congratulations to the 2011 St. Louis Cardinals on an incredible and highly improbable run. In the divisional era, only the 2004 Astros have overcome bigger odds after August 15, and no NL team has ever come back from 10.5 games down that late in a season. They beat the odds and hoisted the World Series trophy once again in 2011.
For my money, this wasn’t that much of a shocker once the Cardinals made it to the playoffs. The Cardinals may have won just 90 games in 2011, but the bullpen – which became full-proof after the trading deadline – blew numerous leads earlier in the year.
The Cardinals of 2011 represented an incredible resilience through tough times – a heartwarming story for anyone who isn’t a fan of the Philles, Brewers, or Rangers.